Our
Newest Forecasting & Trading Course!
The Polarity Factor System
AN
INTEGRATED FORECASTING & TRADING STRATEGY
INSPIRED BY
W. D. GANN’S MASTER TIME FACTOR
By
Daniele Prandelli
click here to order this course!
Special Offer – Purchase The Polarity Factor System & The Law of Cause & Effect Together
& Receive a $500 Discount on the Combined Purchase. Click The Order Link and See Cat#520
For Details on Prandelli’s First Course See Here: The Law
of Cause & Effect
As a trader, how happy would you be if you were
consistently able to pull 20-30 points of profit a week out of the S&P500
Index, which would be the equivalent of 200-300 points a week on Dow Jones
Index? That would be approximately
80-130 points a month on the S&P or approximately 800-1300 points a month
on the Dow! Multiply that by 12, and you’re looking at making 1000-1500
points annually on the S&P, equivalent to 10,000-15,000 points a year on
the Dow, which would be like riding a bull market on the Dow from 0 to its
all-time high every year!
Most
traders would consider these to be quite good trading results, if not even
excellent, but with this new trading course, The Polarity Factor System,
results such as these begin to come into the reach of the properly educated
trader. If you think these sorts of
results are unrealistic, see Prandelli’s
Trading Records for September-November 2011 at this link, as these are
exactly the documented results Prandelli produced over his last 3 months of
trading! And these results are not
really spectacular in Prandelli’s experience.
In fact, the month of September was the continuation of a 2 month
sideways, trendless, whipsawing market, which ate most investors alive, and one
of his best trades he closed out early, being overly cautious, and missed
making an extra 100 points just riding the trend.
Obviously,
it must take something special to consistently produce these kinds of trading
results, and indeed it does! It takes
accurate timing, precision pricing, and strategic risk management, all woven
into an integrated trading methodology which consistently identifies ideal trading
opportunities, and provides a working strategy for profiting from them. And that is exactly what this course
does. Customers of Prandelli’s former
work, The
Law of Cause & Effect, have seen the accuracy of adjusted
Planetary Longitude lines in determining tops, bottoms and resistance
levels. Now imagine adding a timing
system with an equivalent sophistication and precision to determine not just
potential turning points, but the actual polarity of turning points, meaning
whether a turn will be a top or a bottom in the market, and doing this
consistently on an intermediate-term (meaning daily-weekly) scale. Combine with this pricing and timing system
with a well-tested trading strategy, which limits losses and lets profits run,
and you are on your way to producing the results mentioned above.
Like
his earlier course, The
Law of Cause & Effect, the time forecasting system presented in
The
Polarity Factor System is based upon the powerful insights of the great
market master, W. D. Gann, and particularly upon his Master Time Factor, presented in one of his rarest and most secret
courses. Prandelli has redeveloped Gann’s Master Time Factor and
programmed it in his own proprietary software (using Microsoft Excel) to create
yearly forecasts of the market of the same level of accuracy as those produced
by Gann in his Supply and Demand Letter, almost 100 years ago. This timing technique, which he calls the Polarity Factor System (PFS), forecasts
market tops and bottoms with an 80% accuracy, giving
clear directional indications, and the confirmatory tools included in this
course, when combined with the PFS forecasts, at times increase these odd even
more. But this course does not only
provide a time forecasting system, it also includes a sophisticated strategy to
trade the forecast. Prandelli says, that to provide a forecast without clearly showing how
to trade it is almost useless, and therefore he develops an entire methodology
using time, price and trading strategy, to maximize trading profits in the
markets.
From
Prandelli’s Preface To The Course
For some time, I thought about writing this
course, and in so doing, asked myself, “How would I expect the most practical
trading course to be presented?” I concluded that there are 3 critical
characteristics of a trading course that I have rarely found elsewhere:
-
to be precise
-
to be realistic
-
to be profit-making
These are the principal points that I would
expect to find in a practical trading course.
Precision was one of the most difficult elements to find. I often found that I was not able to put into
practise the knowledge acquired because I didn’t know exactly where and when I
was supposed to enter the market. The
reality of what is learned in a course is often very different from the reality
presented by the market. It is useless
to show 20 charts where a line perfectly hit a price, without showing how it
behaved in the other 100 cases when the line didn’t govern the price
trend. Reality must be shown in its
entirety, both in favourable and adverse situations because nobody is
infallible, but we must be able to manage both circumstances. In the end, I needed to learn something that
would enable me, or at least help me, to make consistent profits from my
trading.
Therefore, the venture I am about to undertake is
anything but easy. In order to accomplish
all three of these points, some specific requirements are necessary. First, I must know very well the market I am going to trade, and I need
clear proof that the method works practically and is profit-making. The first requirement was obtained after
years of practice using the same tool,
specifically the S&P500, in my case.
The second requirement was obtained through my Online Blog “I AM
in BORSA”, which presented the trading signals and strategy through an ongoing
commentary written every day before the stock market opening. The Blog demonstrates the proof that we can
produce profits from market using the analysis and trading strategies presented
in this course.
In this course, I am going to present to you a
statistical methodology, not a fool-proof system. I will tell you when you can expect something
and when not. A good trader must know
when he can trade and when he must simply observe. Much of this work is based upon pure
forecasting, but not forecasting alone, since it is rare to make a perfect
forecast. Even Gann did not make perfect
forecasts, so to compensate for the factor of potential errors, one must have a
trading strategy which takes the forecast into account, but which also reads
the market indications in real-time so as to allow a trader to adjust his
trading accordingly. This course
presents the techniques and the tools I use to make forecasts of the US stock
market, with the application of the strategies on the S&P500 index.
What
This Course Will Teach You:
How
to Determine the Yearly Trend of the Market
The first step presented in this course is the means
by which to establish the general yearly trend of the market. Prandelli uses a technique developed by Gann
using his Master Time Factor to first establish the directional expectations
for the yearly trend.
How
to Create a Directional Turning Point Forecast for the Year Using the Polarity
Factor System
The next, and most important step, is to create a
yearly directional swing forecast for the market defining key tops, bottoms and
trends for each month. This forecast
will produce the same kind of chart, though with greater detail, as the chart
below, taken from W. D. Gann’s Supply & Demand Letter, showing
his Forecast for the Stock Market for
1922. On the chart below the dotted
line represents Gann’s forecast for the Dow Jones Industrial Averages for the
year 1922, created IN ADVANCE for that year, and the solid line shows the
actual movements of the DJIA for the year.
Prandelli’s Polarity
Factor System (PFS) creates a future price swing model that works in
exactly the same way as Gann’s forecast above.
This model is based upon Gann’s Master
Time Factor, and these models can be created for many years, even decades
into the future. Included with the
course is proprietary software created in Microsoft Excel developed to
automatically generate these PFS Forecasts for any year in the past, and
projecting into the future for the next decade and beyond. These PFS Forecasts do not only project
expected turning points in the future, but give the precise orientation or
polarity of each turning point, meaning whether a turn is going to be a Top or
a Bottom, not just a potential turning point, just as Gann has done in the
above chart. It also defines the
expected upward and downward trends, along with their potential strength. The polarity of these turning points has a
directional accuracy of approximately 80%, and an accuracy
in actual timing of turns of about 80%, making it one of the most advanced and
useful timing tools we’ve seen.
Statistical
Pattern Analysis for Confirmation of Forecast Turning Points
However, even when one has a directional swing
forecast such as Gann’s shown above, one can see that it is never perfect,
since creating a perfect forecast is almost impossible. Realizing this, and being realistic, as a
trader must be, Prandelli has developed a secondary analysis process, through
which he is able to develop statistical expectations of intermediate trend
action and probable turning points, completely disconnected from the PFS
analysis, but providing a critical confirmatory tool for interpreting the PFS
Forecast. This secondary confirmation
tool provides another level of insight into the probability of the specific
turning points, and the trend direction leading into and following those
specific points. If further helps to
clarify the likelihood of which point will be the primary turning point during
times when the forecast shows a potential double or triple top or bottom, or
provides alternate scenarios when the forecast is moving laterally, like in the
period from May-June on Gann’s Forecast above.
Prandelli has learned from long trading experience that one cannot be
solely dependent upon just one forecasting tool, but instead must develop
confirmation tools to improve the likelihood of identifying the key trading
points in the market. When the Forecast
and confirmation tools are perfectly aligned, the probability of identifying
the exact turning point can go up to as much as 95% accuracy. However, when they are in conflict, they
forewarn the trader to be extra careful during these periods, and to watch and
wait for the market to give the needed trading indications, which are given by
key price levels defined by Planetary Longitude lines.
Integrating
Planetary Price Lines for Price Level Projection & Trading Strategy
Once the PFS Forecast has been created and the
statistical confirmations have been analyzed, it is not enough to just enter
the market based upon pure timing indications.
This is the essential point where the knowledge of the use of Planetary Longitude Lines, as developed
fully in Prandelli’s first course, The Law
of Cause & Effect, comes into play. Gann always identified TWO most important
elements in the market: PRICE & TIME. While the Polarity Factor System and statistical patterning provides the TIME, the Planetary Price Lines give the EXACT indications of the KEY PRICES
that the market will react to. With
these Key prices used in direct correlation with the timing element, the
accuracy and efficiency of placing one’s trades with limited risk is greatly increased. Those who have Prandelli’s first course have
confirmed the value of these Planetary Lines in determining exact tops and
bottoms, and in providing key support and resistance levels which the market is
attracted to and repelled from in all of its motions. In this chapter, Prandelli shows how to
integrate this key PRICE insight with the TIME element, as the basis for a
powerful trading strategy, further using these lines for entry and exit
positions, trend targets and stop-loss placement.
Trading
Strategy – Risk Management – Entry & Exit Points – Position Sizing –
Capital Management
Though Gann may have identified Price & Time as
the Key elements for trading the market, all real traders know there is one
further element of the GREATEST importance:
RISK MANAGEMENT! Prandelli
reiterates again and again throughout this course that just knowing WHEN and
WHERE markets will turn is NOT enough to allow one to be a successful
trader. One MUST also have a clear,
pre-defined trading strategy to trade these indications while limiting one’s
risk and preserving one’s capital. One
must know exactly where one will enter each trade, and where exactly to place
stops so as to cut losses short, allowing the trader to lose many times without
deteriorating his capital. Further, the
trader must also have clearly identified price targets, as well as a strategy
for exiting the market at pre-defined locations with different segments of his
positions, so as to lock in some initial gains, while also allowing profits to
run with a stronger trend. Prandelli’s
course is NOT just a theoretical forecasting system, but rather is an applied,
long-tested, highly profitable trading strategy, incorporating PRICE
indications, DIRECTIONAL TIME projections, and a simple but efficient TRADING
STRATEGY that will limit losses and let profits run, to maximize one’s efficacy
as a trader.
Documented
Trading History
Prandelli provides dozens of real-time examples taken
from his Online Blog “I AM
in BORSA”, which has been recording his forecasts and trades for
the past 18 months through an ongoing commentary written every day before the
stock market opening. He shows exactly
how he made all of his forecasts, what his logic and expectations were, and
exactly how he used those Price & Time indications to place highly accurate
and profitable trades. The Blog
demonstrates the proof that this methodology can produce profits from the
market using the analysis and trading strategies presented in this course.
Prandelli’s trading strategy produces an excellent
Reward/Risk ratio of 6/1. Using his
Planetary Lines in conjunction with this PFS Forecasts and confirmations, he is
able to place trades with tight stop-losses, with an average risk of only 3.5
points and an average reward of 21.3 points.
The average win/loss ratio is 1/1, so by limiting risk and letting
profits run, this ratio produces large profits with small risk of deteriorating
capital. The reason the winners to
losers ratio is 1/1 is that sometimes one may attempt to enter a position 2-3
times before the market begins its anticipated move. But since the risk is limited to an average
of 3.5 points per entry, the profits from one winner will be double the costs
of even 3 losing entry attempts, which is uncommon.
Trading
History
To
See Prandelli’s Documented Trading Results for August – November 2011, see this
link:
http://www.sacredscience.com/Prandelli/Prandelli-Trading-Records-Sep-Nov-2011.htm
Sample Forecasts & Trades
For
Examples of PFS Forecasts & Trades from the Last Year, see this link:
http://www.sacredscience.com/Prandelli/Prandelli-PFS-Examples.htm
Included
Software
Included with this course is proprietary software
developed exclusively by Daniele Prandelli in Microsoft Excel, which creates
the Polarity Factor System (PFS) yearly forecasts for the S&P 500 Index and
Dow Jones Averages for the coming year, as well as decades into the
future. The included software is
currently programmed with Dow & S&P data, but the same software will
allow the input of data from other markets with sufficient historical data
(approximately 60 years is required to produce the proper PFS forecast) to
create an equivalent yearly forecast as Gann and Prandelli produce. The software will also let one experiment
with variations of cyclic forecasting models according to Gann’s specifications
or the creativity of the individual researcher.
This software is unlocked with all formulae accessible so that customers
can use it to create models for any market the desire.
Customer
Feedback
I can provide an unsolicited and
independent assessment of Prandelli’s work.
I've watched Daniele trade for quite a while now. I've marveled at his skill with his
method. I've seen him be stopped out
(so he's not perfect... LOL) but he controls his risk well in those few cases
where I've seen him lose. In my humble
opinion, he is one of maybe seven traders I know internationally that I put on
a pedestal of being masters of sorts.
I'm sure there are others that I've not observed, but I've watched
dozens of paid services that can't get close to the same results.
I think Daniele is the "real
deal"... and I don't say that lightly.
Past that, he has the wonderful characteristics of being quite humble
and kind. All said and done, I think he
is a rare individual indeed. Yes,
Daniele is a jewel. Nice and gifted guy.
J.C. Harrison, TN
***
I am a huge fan of Daniele's
stuff! His cycles in the course have worked INCREDIBLY well for me, and caught
both the October 5th low and the November 25 low. Amazing!
F.S. Foxboro, MA
***
I’ve bought lots of courses from you but I
can tell you I like Prandelli’s the most. Beyond the theory, which is
fascinating, this course is really close to everyday trading. It is not coming
from trading examples many years in the past, it is coming from the present. It
is acting and working in the current trading environment. That is why I found
it to be the most valuable course for me from all the others I have bought from
you.
You know that I daytrade with a couple of
hundred S&P500 lots, and beyond theory, it is very important that the
course would be easily applicable for today’s environment. That could be the
reason for this to be the most successful course. I ask you to push Daniele to
come up with his next course as soon as possible!
Regards,
J.S., Budapest, Hungary
The Polarity Factor System
AN INTEGRATED FORECASTING
& TRADING STRATEGY
INSPIRED
BY W. D. GANN’S MASTER TIME FACTOR
By Daniele Prandelli
black suede
hardcover. 242 pages, over 150 charts & images
This course requires the signing of a non-disclosure agreement.
cat#464 Retail Price $2995.00
Special Offer – Purchase The
Polarity Factor System & The Law of
Cause & Effect Together
& Receive a $500 Discount on the Combined Purchase for a Total of $4,500.
Click The Order Link and See Cat#520.
For details on Prandelli’s First Course, See here:
click here to see prandelli’s law of cause & effect
click here to order this course!
click
here to see pfs example trades
click
here to see prandelli trading records
click here to see prandelli law of cause
& effect
Table of Contents
Publisher’s
Preface
Preface
Chapter
1 – General Annual Trend
-
WD Gann’s Master Time Factor
Chapter
2 – The Polarity Factor System (PFS)
-
100 Year Data Model
-
Creating Yearly Directional Forecasts
-
The Excel Spreadsheet
Chapter
3 – Looking at the Past
-
Forecast Confirmation Technique
-
Secondary Date Projection Model
Chapter
4 – Looking for Monthly & Weekly Turns
-
Integrating Time Cycles into the Model
Chapter
5 – The Vital Importance of Price
-
The Key to Trading the System
-
Trading Strategy for the Forecasting Model
Chapter
6 – The Art of Trading
-
Trading a Whipsaw Market with Profits
-
Trading Major Signals & Turning Points
Conclusion
Appendices
-
Appendix A – WD Gann – Master Time Factor Forecasting Course
-
Appendix B – Historical Yearly S&P 500 Charts 1961-2011
click here to order this course!
click
here to see pfs example trades
click
here to see prandelli trading records
click here to see prandelli law of cause
& effect
DISCLAIMER
It
should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators presented in
these products will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. There
is no assurance that the strategies and methods presented in this book will be
successful for you. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future
performance. The examples presented in this book are for educational purposes
only. The data used is believed to be from reliable sources but cannot be
guaranteed. The methods presented are not solicitations of any order to buy or
sell. The author, publisher, and all affiliates assume no responsibility for
your trading or investment results, and will not be liable for any loss, damage
or liability directly or indirectly caused by the usage of this material..
There is considerable risk of loss in Futures, Stock and Options trading. You
should only use risk capital in all such endeavors. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING
MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO
THOSE SHOWN.
All Contents © Sacred
Science Institute