Ferrera’s New Penetrating Breakthrough in Gann Analysis!
Economic & Stock Market Forecasting
W. D. Gann’s Science of
Cyclical Periodicity Sequencing
"Mathematical science, which is the only real
science that the entire civilized world
has agreed upon, furnishes unmistakable proof of history repeating itself, and shows that the
cycle theory, or harmonic analysis, is the only thing that we can rely upon to ascertain the future.
My calculations are based on the cycle theory and on MATHEMATICAL SEQUENCES.
History repeats itself.” -- W. D. Gann
Intent of Course
The intent of Ferrera’s new course is to present the logic and application of Gann’s science of Mathematical Sequences of periodic market patterns. Ferrera teaches how to use this Mathematical Sequencing in conjunction with Gann’s “cycle theory” in order to forecast the general economy, stock market, or individual stocks, by identifying the expected periodic sequences of market action coming in both the immediate and long-term future. Ferrera also provides a Key Options Strategy which generates high yield returns with extremely limited risk, allowing traders to take advantage of these forecasts for both intermediate-term and long-term trading. The course presents new material and a breakthrough insight into one of Gann’s very deepest levels of analysis, which to our knowledge, has never been clearly explained before this course.
The Following Chart Shows REAL Cycle Forecasts Given in Ferrera’s
Based upon Gann’s 8/8/1908 Time Factor Presented in This Course
Introduction & Overview
After seven long years of waiting since Dan Ferrera wrote his last course The Spirals of Growth & Decay, we are very happy to release his newest and latest work, Economic & Stock Market Forecasting, W. D. Gann’s Science of Cyclical Periodicity Sequencing! During these last years, while Ferrera’s interests have focused elsewhere, he has continued to write his General Outlooks, giving a forecast for the economic environment and general stock market for the upcoming year. These Outlooks have continued to be very popular, and have honed Dan’s analysis and forecasting abilities to a new level, leading him to a NEW BREAKTHROUGH in his understanding of Gann’s most complicated and secretive forecasting methodology, what we would call Cyclical Periodicity Sequencing.
In the Gann quotation above, note Gann’s mention of Mathematical Sequences, in connection with his cycle theory. This mathematical sequencing has long been considered one of the most mysterious and complicated elements of Gann’s work, and is essentially something so little understood, that almost no Gann expert even discusses it. The only other person, to our knowledge, who approached this topic was Dr. Jerome Baumring, in his Gann Harmony: The Law of Vibration course series, where he ongoingly emphasized the importance of understanding the difference between CYCLES vs. PERIODICITY! Ferrera’s earlier course, Wheels Within Wheels, The Art of Forecasting Financial Market Cycles, addressed the science of creating composite cycle models from underlying cyclic sine wave components, and his models have proved accurate over the past decade, with projections going out 100 years into the future. However, the study of PERIODICITY is something entirely different, and is a subject so misunderstood, that most people think it is just another word for cycles, leaving most Gann researchers unaware of this most important of his techniques.
Baumring defined Periodicity as “a sequence of events that occurs at a predetermined interval (cycle),” but he repeatedly emphasized that it was NOT just about finding and combining these underlying cycles, as so many analysts see as the summation of Gann’s cycle work. The interaction of Cycles and Periodicity is something far more complex and important than composite wave models. It is something more like the sequencing of wheels and gears in a clock, where the rotation of one brings a sequence of rotations of others, which at particular intervals bring about a set of actions, like the ringing of bells, or the movement and chirping of a Coo Coo clock. A Periodicity, being a “sequence of events,” is essentially a PATTERN that occurs over a period of time, and which recurs at various periods throughout history, mysteriously to most, but with an underlying logic seen by those who understand the SEQUENCING of the cyclic periods of such recurrences.
It is THIS science of the Mathematical Sequencing of Pattern Recurrence, in periodic cyclic intervals, with a stepwise logic and order to their recurrence that has been elaborated in this course with a level of clarity not previously presented in any other work. Standard cycle work merely scratches the surface of a far more important level of order defined by Periodicity. This periodic order is like a sort of DNA code, as Baumring taught, wherein a limited number of underlying building blocks (patterns) are sequenced together to define a higher order structure with a mathematical logic to it. Many traders who work with pattern recognition know that, for each year there will generally be a few matching years from the past which will model the current market action with great accuracy in price, time or both. Gann teaches to look back 10, 20, 40, 60, 90 and numerous other cyclic variables in the past, to try to identify the active cycle for the current period. But with so many variables and options, analysts either become confused, or create models that are too generalized due to averaging in too much data or using the wrong and inactive sequence segments.
Baumring used to emphasize, “you MUST match like with like!” You cannot match a pattern in a bear market periodicity with one in a Bull market sequence and expect the patterns to behave the same way. There is a precise logic that determines which of these specific cycles and repeating patterns will be active at any particular time, and without this, you will likely be matching apples with oranges. But when one knows which of the many Gann cycles have the highest probability of mirroring market patterning sequence for the current time period, one can develop various models of market action, using the most probably variances in patterning from similar repetitions of this sequence in the past. This is what Gann and Baumring really meant by “Pattern Recognition,” which goes far beyond just finding similarities in pattern formations, through understanding the logic of WHEN and WHY those formations will be sequentially occurring.
History does repeat itself, as Gann so rightly states, but the mathematical sequences that Gann referred to, which provide the KEY to show exactly HOW history repeats itself, have remained long hidden. In this course, Ferrera will unveil the logic behind Gann’s secret science of Cyclical Periodicity Sequencing, using numerous examples from over 220 years of Dow Jones stock market data, where he demonstrates again and again exactly HOW history repeats itself, and WHEN to expect which parts of these repetitions going forward in time. After digesting the material in this course, analysts will have the ability to create forecasts of the market in the same way Ferrera does himself for his Yearly Outlooks, and will understand a deep level of Gann’s teaching that has rarely been understood before. We have also included the full history of Ferrera’s Yearly Outlooks from 2008-2014 on the included disk, so that students can refer to them to see how exactly Ferrera goes from principle to application. These Outlooks alone still cost $660 in our catalog and are regularly purchased in bulk by those who desire a deep and serious study of ongoing forecasting applications. But only in this course is the methodology Ferrera uses to create these Outlooks explained.
Questions & Subjects Addressed
· How do you find the best possible model from the past to represent the current and future market, in advance?
· Everyone is familiar with matching recurring patterns from the past, but how do you know WHICH will be the ones that best model the current market?
· What was Gann’s famous discovery on 8/8/1908, and how does it relate to this study?
· What might it mean in terms of forecasting and how would one use it?
· Is the Gann emblem (see above under author’s name) just a nice symbol that Gann chose, or does it have a deeper meaning?
· Could it also be some kind of a calculator? If so, how would one use it?
· Does the Gann Emblem relate to the 8/8/08 Time Factor discovery?
· What secret clue does Gann’s Hexagon Chart hold to the proper sequencing of market patterns?
· What is Gann’s cubic theory of the market and how is it encoded into his work?
· How did Marechal create his famous forecast chart? This course will teach you to create a better one!
· What did Gann & Baumring really mean when they talked about Pattern Recognition?
· How can someone with limited funds and a low tolerance for risk make large returns using options?
· Includes Ferrera’s Complete Outlooks from 2008-2013 to show the practical application of these techniques as used by Ferrera!
Practical Applications & Options Strategies
In Ferrera’s earlier trading course, The Keys To Successful Speculation, he presents the fundamentals of trading: risk management, account management, position sizing, trade placement, swing determination, all the details every trader needs to know to trade successfully. However, that book was focused primarily on trading the underlying stocks or commodities, and it did not emphasize other strategic trading vehicles, like options. As the closing, application orientated section of this course, Ferrera has extended his presentation of trading strategies and vehicles to teach traders how to take advantage of the fantastic leverage and limited risk of options. He presents numerous approaches and strategies to apply to different situations, both short term and long term, for hedging long term positions, as well as for high yield speculative plays. The following Ferrera excerpt is from this new course:
It is my opinion that every serious trader should learn at least a few simple options strategies. Options are the one investment vehicle that offers the greatest leverage and upside reward potential with a limited amount of risk. Sure you can still lose money but that is the case with all financial vehicles. A major advantage to options is their flexibility and versatility. They can be conservative or very speculative depending on the rules of your strategy. Options allow you to customize your position to your specific set of circumstances.
· You can protect or hedge a Long position in the market from a decline in prices.
· You can protect or hedge a Short position in the market from an advance in prices.
· You can prepare to buy a stock or commodity at a lower price.
· You can prepare to sell a stock or commodity at a higher price.
· You can position yourself for a big market move even when you don’t know which way prices will move.
· You can benefit from a price rise or decline without incurring the cost of buying the stock outright or posting the minimum margin requirements.
Forecasting Individual Stocks
Though this study uses the Dow Jones Industrial Averages as the primary data set, mostly due to the 220 years of readily available historical data for it, the analysis and methodology applies equally to the analysis of any individual stock, commodity, or other market, as well as to any kind of business or economic data or cycle. W. D. Gann said the following of the relationship between forecasting the general market and the application to individual stocks:
“You should not depend upon the Averages to forecast the trend of individual stocks. These Averages give you the general trend, and while many stocks will follow this average trend, you should figure out each stock individually and let its position on geometrical angles and time periods determine the different months in the year when the stock is likely to make many tops and bottoms. I am always glad to furnish these charts to students of my Course on Forecasting so that they may study the individual stocks and be convinced that the theory will work on an individual stock even better than it will work on the Averages. No man can study the cycles without being convinced that the time cycles do repeat at regular intervals and that it is possible to forecast future market movements.” – W. D. Gann
From Author Introduction
Within this material, the techniques, tools and information found to be useful in ascertaining the future outlook of the economy and stock market will be presented. Some techniques have already been discussed in other works, whereas other methods previously released may have given the reader the correct perspective, without developing the skills to put the viewpoint into practice. It is my personal belief, that both time and price exhibit cyclic behaviour. Once one uncovers the cyclic structure of past events presented within available data, the information can readily be utilized to make future projections of what likely lies ahead.
Many forecasters tend to over emphasize short-term events, projecting a potential influence forward in time, without any understanding of a larger cyclic view, the big picture vantage point. Therefore prior to making any predictions about the near term outlook, one must always step back and gain as broad a view as possible, allowing one to accurately judge to the best of their ability what is ahead. Personal experience has shown that it is only from this larger perspective that successful predictions can be divined. Short and intermediate term forecasts are only possible within the context of a much larger view. Emphasizing the smaller view is equivalent to being “penny wise and dollar foolish.”
In making my own forecasts, I have always relied on discerning the larger vantage point based upon a cyclic understanding of time as well as a structural understanding of price. The latter was fully disclosed in my course Spirals of Growth and Decay, Exposing the Underlying Structure of the Financial Markets. This combination allows me to both forecast the likely future with very good probability, and provides a second method of interpreting what is occurring NOW, in real time. In addition to my own discoveries, the works of W.D. Gann, Louise McWhirter, Professor Weston, J.M. Hurst, William C Garrett, Samuel Benner and others are utilized. No method of forecasting is infallible and thus the real objective in doing such work is to uncover a preponderance of evidence that reveal similar conclusions. Nobody expects perfection in weather forecasts and as such, none should expect anything different with regard to economic or financial forecasts.
Just as one wants to be forewarned of severe weather, such as: hurricanes, tornadoes, thunderstorms, floods, heavy snowfall, etc. so they can prepare, evacuate or avoid exposure to dangerous circumstances, the same intent can be applied to the economic environment. As W.D. Gann said in numerous materials, “Forewarned is forearmed.” Many of Gann’s forecasting secrets, specifically with regard to periodicity and history repeating, have been rediscovered here, and are presented in this material as a comprehensive, ready to apply method.
Daniel T. Ferrera – Introduction, Economic & Stock Market Forecasting
Data & Software Included with Course – Including Ferrera’s Complete Outlooks from 2008-2013!
Included with this course is the complete monthly data for the Dow Jones Industrial Averages from 1790-2010, as well as the complete daily data from 1900-current. This data is given in Excel Spreadsheets, where researchers can easily make charts of any segments of this long history for analysis and pattern comparison. The can also be printed on paper or acetate for further research and comparison of historic patterns and periodicities.
We have also included with this course the Ferrera’s Complete Outlooks from 2008-2013 (a $300 value for FREE) so that as you study the procedures taught here, you can also study 6 years of history of how Ferrera used these exact principles to create his own forecasts. There is nothing like practical application, and Ferrera’s Outlooks show how to walk through the logic of the principles and techniques presented in this course, in order to see the method and sequence of integrating them into a working forecast for the coming year. You can also validate the success that Ferrera has had using these techniques in predicting the major trends for each of the past 6 years.
Ferrera has also included some useful spreadsheets and tools from his past courses to help researchers with their various analysis and calculations related to this study. One program calculates any planetary position or relationship of planetary positions backwards and forwards in time, for various cycle to planetary alignment analysis. Another spreadsheet allows the user to create composite cycle models from as many as 18 underlying sine wave cycles, to model market action according to underlying summational waves. This provides an excellent means to analyze the underlying cyclic influences behind patterns, so as to adjust for variations in periodic patterns due to shorter term cycle phasing.
Table of Contents
· Publisher’s Preface
· Author’s Introduction
· The Cyclic Perspective of Time
· 90-Year Cycle From Gann’s Book Tunnel thru the Air
· 70-Year National Debt Cycle
· Age of Majority Cycles (21 and 18)
· 84-Year Cycle & 42-Year Half Cycle
· 60-Year Master Cycle
· Jubilee Cycle
· 17-year & 13-year Jubilee Harmonics
· 54-Year Cycle. Kondratieff and Samuel Benner
· Musical Market
· Clues From Gann’s Forecasting Material
· Gann’s Hexagon or Cube Theory
· The Blind Side
· Master Time Factor & Forecasting Rules
· Fuzzy Logic
· 7-Year Cycle
· The Most Important Time Cycle Is The 20-Year Cycle
· Jubilee and the 20-Year Cycle
· Periodic Mind Set
· 18.6-Year Lunar North Node Cycle
· McWhirter & the 18.6-Year Cycle
· The North Node & 20-Year Cycle
· North Node Market Timing
· The Gann Emblem & Master Cycles
· 1929 Practice Exercises
· Harmonic Motion
· Important Formulas & Techniques for Working with Planetary Cycles
· Trend Lines & Trend Channels
· Bull And Bear Calendar Years
· Gann Review
· Forecasting Individual Stocks
· Understanding The Options Opportunity
· How Options Basically Work
· A High Yield /Low Risk Options Strategy
· Probability Of A Price Move
· Understanding Option Spreads
· Other Key Options Strategies
· Timing Important Stock Market Bottoms
· W. D. Gann’s Master Forecasting Course
· Dow Jones Historical Charts 1790-2013 – 10-Year Sections
Price & Ordering
Economic & Stock Market Forecasting
W. D. Gann’s Science of Cyclical Periodicity Sequencing
By Daniel T. Ferrera
2013 black suede hardcover. 285 pages, with numerous charts, & software
NOTE: Signing of a Non-Disclosure Agreement will be required with this course.
cat #444 Price $2995.00
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