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General Outlook For 2008
A Forecast Of Financial &
Economic Trends For The Coming Year
By Daniel T. Ferrera
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INTRODUCTION TO OUTLOOK FOR 2008
Every year W. D. Gann published his annual forecast for the upcoming year. Over the course of the year, he would send out adjustments and/or supplements to the forecast for his subscribers. Over the past 10 years, it would be hard to argue that Mr. Ferrera has not been one of the most successful forecasters of the modern era. In his first course, The Mysteries of Gann Analysis Unveiled, he predicted a stock market low in 2003 where most analysts were expecting a high and wrote: "My personal belief is that the year 2003 will probably be a low and not a high. There are many interesting numeric and astrological cycles that support this view. The correlation between the Lunar North Node and American Economic expansion indicates that the US economy will peak out when the Lunar Node is in Leo from September 17th, 1998 to April 4th, 2000. From here the economy should really start to cool down. Saturn enters Gemini on January 27th of the year 2001, which has historically been bad for the United States economically. Numerically, every major low from August of 1982 has followed a Fibonacci sequence in years. 1982 +3 = 1985, 1982 + 5 = 1987, 1982 + 8 = 1990, 1982 +13 = 1995 and 1982 +21 = 2003. Cycles also indicate a Republican President that is assassinated in office and strong prospects of a major US military conflict near 2003."
What happened? The stock market did have a major low in 2003, the economy turned sourer in 2001 and the United States has been engaged in a major military conflict for more than 5 years. The only prediction that has not occurred pertains to the President, though he is a Republican President.
In his cycle material, Wheels Within Wheels, released in 2002, Mr. Ferrera illustrated how Gold would have a major advance, interest rates would continue to decline into 2007, and he predicted that the stock market would experience a strong advance from 2003 to 2006. In a specific section of the book, he illustrated how to use the economic work of Samuel Benner and Louise McWhirter. He wrote, "I will give you Samuel Benner's forecasting pattern for 'business activity'. Periods of 'good times and high prices', i.e. the time to sell stocks and other values of all kinds. Their cycles are 8-9-10 years and repeat. For example, 1972 was the last projected 'business activity' top in the sequence. Add 8-years projected 1980 as the next 'business activity' top. Next add 9 years to 1980 projected 1989 as a 'business activity' top. Next add 10 years projected 1999 as a 'business activity' top. Now the cycle starts over again and we add 8-years to project 2007 as a 'business activity' top."
What happened? Gold advanced to the highest levels seen in over 27-yrs, reaching over $900/ounce. Interest rates continued to decline for 5-years and the stock market advanced strong during the predicted 3-year period, with stock values reaching a top in October 2007 from which prices have declined nearly 20%.
Now as an affordable educational and informational piece, Mr. Ferrera has put together an Annual Forecast, or Outlook for 2008. For those researchers serious about the work of W. D. Gann, or general techniques of financial market forecasting, this report should provide many insights that are often overlooked by other researchers.
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The outlook for 2008 is being presented a educational information designed for entertainment purposes only.“Past performance is not indicative of future results”. You should understand that there is considerable risk of loss in the Stock Markets, Futures Markets and Option markets. Neither I, nor anyone else involved in the production of this material, will be liable for any loss, damage or liability directly or indirectly caused by the usage of this material. The data used in this material is believed to be from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed. The projection methods and/or timing techniques contained in this document are not to be taken as “investment advice”. Ultimately, you are responsible for all of your investment decisions. If you are unwilling to accept this responsibility, then you should not invest in the financial markets at all. It is understood that nobody can accurately forecast the future with any reliability.